Indian companies are experiencing disruptions from the ongoing Middle East conflict, including shipment delays and shortages of key inputs. The Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) notes pressures on global shipping routes, energy markets, and trade flows, but highlights India’s strong economic position entering the crisis.
Key Disruptions
Critical maritime routes like the Strait of Hormuz face threats, impacting oil, LNG, and logistics for sectors such as ceramics, pharmaceuticals, basmati rice, fertilizers, and diamonds. Exporters report higher freight costs, insurance premiums up to $2,400 per container, and rerouting needs, with $15 billion in merchandise to GCC countries at risk.
Industry and Government Response
CII Director General Chandrajit Banerjee praises swift government actions to manage fallout, while firms accelerate energy diversification and operational adjustments. Pharma exports could lose over $541 million, and apparel orders may weaken due to softening demand in affected markets.
Broader Economic Impacts
Rising Brent crude above $110/barrel strains India’s oil import bill and inflation, with the rupee under pressure near 94/USD. Prolonged conflict risks GDP drag from higher costs and reduced consumption, though diversification efforts provide some buffer.